Morehead State Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinals 12:00 PM Eastern
The system of coach Pat Kelsey usually calls for his teams to shoot a lot of 3-point shots as Louisville took 52.9% of their field goal attempts from 3-point range last season, which ranked fourth in the nation. An issue with this is Louisville team has more low post based with bringing in the likes of Flory Bidunga and Gabe Dynes being shot blocking bigs and the team was 9-of-35 from 3-point range against Chattanooga to begin the season while Morehead State was was 22nd in offensive rebound percentage last season with 34.6% of their missed shots becoming an offensive rebound.
Pick: Morehead State +36.5 (Greg's Handicap Morehead State +29.5)
North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Ohio Bobcats 1:00 PM Eastern
Ohio underachieved last season going 15-17, but have a chance to get this season off to a strong start as North Carolina A&T loses almost their whole team from last season. While North Carolina A&T was 67th in rebound percentage last season, they were also 336th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage and while Ohio was 341st in 3-point shooting percentage last season at 30.1%, bringin IU Indy transfer Kyler D'Augustino should uplift the offense after averaging 18.5 points, 3.2 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.3 steals per game on 39.4% 3-point shooting.
Picks: Ohio -11.5 and Under 161.5 (Greg's Handicap Ohio -16 and Total 156)
Lafayette Leopards vs. St. Joseph's Hawks 1:00 PM Eastern
While St. Joseph's will likely take a step back in the post with many of last season's forwards gone from a team that was 6th in points per possession allowed on defense and 40th in opponent 2-point shooting percentage, they will likely be much better with their guard play in year number two under coach Steve Donahue, who took the job under intense circumstances in the fall last season. Lafayette is also looking like one of the worst teams in the sport, losing 96-60 opening night to Butler as they lost five of last season's top six scorers from last season.
Pick: St. Joseph's -16.5 (Greg's Handicap St. Joseph's -22.5)
Toledo Rockets vs. Marshall Thundering Herd 2:00 PM Eastern
Marshall was a solid team with their interior offense last season, ranking 72nd in 2-point shooting percentage, but lose nearly all of last season's roster while Toledo brings back a good amount of their producers from the 2025-26 season. Toledo is notorious for not playing a ton of defense, ranking 270th in points per possession allowed on defense last season but on offense were 28th in 3-point shooting percentage and should see their 10-of-48 start to the season from 3-point range through two games go northward.
Toledo Moneyline and Over 157.5 (Greg's Handicap Toledo -4.5 and Total 164.5)
VMI Keydets vs. UT San Antonio Roadrunners 5:00 PM Eastern
It was a brutal year for UT San Antonio last season that saw the team rank in the bottom 25 of the nation in both points scored and points allowed on a per possession basis, but bringing in former Seton Hall starting guard Isaiah Coleman, who was averaging 15.6 points per game in the Big East two seasons ago, should uplift the team. VMI returns a lot of pieces from a season ago, which may not be a good thing considering they were outside the top 300 in both points scored and points allowed on a per possession basis last season and while UT San Antonio lost 95-74 against San Jose State to begin the season, the fact that they forced 21 turnovers should lead to issues on offense for VMI.
Picks: UT San Antonio -4.5 and Under 164.5 (Greg's Handicap UT San Antonio -12 and Total 156)
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. IU Indy Jaguars 5:00 PM Eastern
It is year number two of Ben Howlett at IU Indy and if you go back to his time at the Division II level at West Liberty, his teams on the regular would average 100 points per game for a full season and laid the groundwork last season to execute that system, ranking eighth in the country in total possessions per game while UT Martin is a team that is prone to turnovers, ranking 345th in turnovers per possession on offense and both teams with their active hands on defense should turn turnovers into fast breaks with UT Martin 22nd in turnovers per possession generated on defense last season and IU Indy 35th in this category.
UT Martin vs. IU Indy Over 158.5 (Greg's Handicapped Total 166.5)
Southern Indiana Screamin' Eagles vs. Evansville Purple Aces 8:00 PM Eastern
Southern Indiana was one of the most injury plagued teams in the nation last season and it led to their offense being in the bottom 50 in nearly every category imaginable, but they get back guard Kaden Brown, who had 11.1 points per game in 13 games last season on 33.7% 3-point shooting. Evansville was 353rd in offensive rebound percentage, grabbing only 20.3% of their misses as an offensive rebound and overall 345th in points per possession last season, on par with Southern Indiana who was 354th in points per possession and Southern Indiana was 125th in points per possession allowed while Evansville was 332nd.
Southern Indiana +9.5 (Greg's Handicap Southern Indiana +3.5)
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Santa Clara Broncos 10:00 PM Eastern
Sacramento State should be much improved in season number two under coach Mike Bibby after in year one their big man Jeremiah Cherry went down with an injury and they could not recover, leading to them ranking 295th in defensive rebound percentage and 340th in opponent 2-point shooting percentage. Bringing back main point guard Mikey Williams after averaging 17.1 points, three rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 1.2 steals per game last season with Larry Hughes Jr. entering after averaging 17.7 points and 1.5 steals per game on 39.5% 3-point shooting at Cal State Northridge should keep this team competitive against a Santa Clara team that won their first two games this season by a combined 42 points.
Sacramento State +19.5 and Under 167.5 (Greg's Handicap Sacramento State +17 and Total 163)
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. UC San Diego Tritons 10:00 PM Eastern
Fresno State guarded the 3-point line well last season, ranking 30th in opponent 3-point shooting at 30.7%, but were also 274th with their own 3-point shooting at 32.1% and lose all of their top eight scorers from last season while UC San Diego returns three of their top five scorers from last season including leading scorer Leo Beath who had 12.2 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 1.2 steals per game last season. Fresno State also had had issues running clean offense under Vance Wahlberg, ranking 282nd in turnovers per possession last season and were 257th in points per possession overall.
Pick: UC San Diego -9.5 (Greg's Handicap UC San Diego -15.5)
