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Dec 31, 2024
3 min read

PromoGuy's November 2024 Results

I post plays for the widely available promos on the major books (DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars) to my Discord and then post to Twitter. These are the plays everyone has and are tracked conservatively in the spreadsheet below. By conservatively, I mean that I always track at the minimum max boost % and boost amount that they give out, so that these serve as more of a bare minimum profit long term if you are tailing along. Sometimes plays die quickly and I post a replacement play for people who didn't get it; these are tracked half and half. 

October results:

November Results & Takeaways

It continues to be an excellent year for us with the major books finishing up $582 in November.  FanDuel led the way for the second straight month finishing up $302, with DraftKings right behind finishing up $260. This brings the major books to +$8,530 YTD.

For context, we finished last year up $7,980 so we are now a full $550 ahead of where we finished last year with December still to go. DraftKings moves up to +$4,870 on the year, while Fanduel moves up to +$2,834 on the year.

Let’s dive into the takeaways:

  1. We had our biggest win of the year. The +1855 Draftkings NBA SGPX gave us a nice $185.5 and our highest odds win of the year.  
  2. Two straight months without a superboost on DK or FD. But that's okay; our EV has come in different forms the last two months. In 2023, we made $3,041 on FanDuel boosts alone. This year will be far less and we haven’t even gotten one in months, but still FanDuel has had two very strong months and we have easily surpassed last year’s total profits thanks to many other promos.

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Discord Results & Takeaways

Starting in January 2024 I started tracking 3 of the main books that I do promos for in the Discord: MGM, BetRivers, and ESPN. Starting in September, I added Hard Rock to the mix.

The way I track these is similar to Twitter, except every play is one unit and I track every bet posted to keep things simpler. There will be higher quantity than each individual can actually play on MGM. 

  • Betrivers: +5.39u in October, +172.9 units YTD through November
  • ESPNBET:  +15.34u in October, +232.16u YTD through November  
  • MGM: -20.68 units in November, +264.53u YTD through November
  • Hard Rock: +22.69 units in October, +90.08u in September- November 
  • Bet365 (ROIGUY in discord) finished up +$1,162 on the month bringing Bet365 to +$2,226.35 on the year. 

General Takeaways

  1. November will always be Steppy month. ROIGUY hitting a 100-1 and 70-1 on back to back days was one of the cooler experiences we've had in our community.
  2. It was our worst combined unit record of the year (+22.73u) due to the 2nd down month of the year for MGM. MGM becomes the first book to have its second down month this year.

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